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The Effect of Exchange Rate Volatility on Manufacturing output in Nigeria

Abstract:

This work investigate a granger-cause exchange rate volatility as key amongst other variables on manufacturing output decline in Nigeria. In pursuance of this, a standard GARCH(1,1) model was applied while a single equation isomorphic to integrate data was employed. The GARCH results were found to be stable, results from error correction model unstable while exchange rate volatility shocks hit manufacturing output by affecting the sector' financial requirements.

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